Tuesday, December 08, 2009

12-08-09 Wind possible severe event tonight

From the SPC Day 1

...LOWER OH AND TN VALLEYS...
STRONG LOW LEVEL WAA COMBINED WITH COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES/
STEEP LAPSE RATES SPREADING ACROSS THIS REGION TUESDAY EVENING/
NIGHT WITHIN EXIT REGION OF A 100+ KT MID LEVEL JET NOSING INTO THIS
AREA SHOULD SUPPORT ELEVATED TSTMS. THE STEEP LAPSE RATES WITH
ACTIVITY ROOTED AROUND 850 MB AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR 30-35 KT IS
EXPECTED TO SUPPORT AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR HAIL... POTENTIALLY UP TO
1 INCH. THIS ACTIVITY WILL DEVELOP EWD ACROSS SRN IND/KY/TN TUESDAY
NIGHT.

From Louisville NWS:
A strong weather system will affect the Ohio Valley beginning today and lasting into Wednesday. Low pressure over Missouri will rapidly intensify and move northeast to Chicago. Rain is expected across Kentucky and southern Indiana starting this morning...then will increase in intensity tonight. Rainfall amounts will likely exceed one inch in most locations. Along with the heavy rain...a few thunderstorms are also possible, especially across south central Kentucky late this evening. Strong gusty winds are possible with any thunderstorm development.

A cold front will move through the region Wednesday morning ushering in much cooler air. The low over the Chicago area will also help to create very gusty winds with the falling temperatures. Wind gusts in excess of 50 mph are possible Wednesday. Temperatures will start off Wednesday in the mid 40s, but will fall into the mid 30s by afternoon. There may be enough moisture behind the cold front to produce a few snow showers Wednesday...but accumulations if any, will be light.



Now time to sit and watch everything unfold tonight.... would be nice to get a severe event in December....

Sunday, December 06, 2009

12-06-09 Lexington Forecast

Just for the heck of it and since its been a while since i did an actual forecast here's one for the Lexington area for the next few days

Lexington Point forecast.

Sun 7pm: 35f, no precip, wind 5-10 ese, Clear
Mon 1am: 25f, no precip, Wind 5-10 se, Mostly Clear
Mon 7am: 29f, no precip, wind 0-5 s, Mostly Cloudy
Mon 1pm: 42f, Light Rain after 2 pm wind 10-15 SW, Cloudy
Mon 7pm: 40f, Light Rain, wind 0-5 WSW, Cloudy
Tue 1am: 35f, Light Rain Event Total 0.10 inches, wind 0-5 variable, Mostly Cloudy
Tue 7am: 30f, no precip, wind 0-5 NE, Partly Cloudy
Tue 1pm: 37f, Light Rain after 3pm, wind 5-10 SE, Cloudy
Tue 7pm: 39f, Light Rain, wind 10-15 SE Gusting 20-25, Cloudy
Wed 1am: 45f, Moderate Rain ch/thunder, wind 10-15 S, G 25-30, Cloudy
Wed 7am: 51f, Light rain before 5 Am event total 1.10 inches, Wind 15-20, G 25-30, Mostly cloudy
Wed 1pm: 65f, no precip, wind 20-25 G 30-40 WSW, Scattered Clouds
Wed 7pm: 40f, no precip, wind 15-20 WSW, Mostly Cloudy

Rain and maybe some snow is possible Monday no accumulation expected Rain totals of less than a tenth of an inch.

Winds will become gusty Tuesday into Wed with gusts as high as 40 mph possible.
Rain will begin Tuesday afternoon and rain will be light until the overnight where periods of heavy rain are possible along with a rumble of thunder or two, Rain totals of 1.10 inch possible.

Saturday, December 05, 2009

12-05-09 First snow of the 2009 Winter Season

Waking up this morning to a horrific sight... a thin white blanket of snow.... Yes i hate snow... So this was kinda depressing.. anyways its the first snow of this winter season so i had to get a few pics.