From the SPC Day 1
...LOWER OH AND TN VALLEYS...
STRONG LOW LEVEL WAA COMBINED WITH COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES/
STEEP LAPSE RATES SPREADING ACROSS THIS REGION TUESDAY EVENING/
NIGHT WITHIN EXIT REGION OF A 100+ KT MID LEVEL JET NOSING INTO THIS
AREA SHOULD SUPPORT ELEVATED TSTMS. THE STEEP LAPSE RATES WITH
ACTIVITY ROOTED AROUND 850 MB AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR 30-35 KT IS
EXPECTED TO SUPPORT AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR HAIL... POTENTIALLY UP TO
1 INCH. THIS ACTIVITY WILL DEVELOP EWD ACROSS SRN IND/KY/TN TUESDAY
NIGHT.
From Louisville NWS:
A strong weather system will affect the Ohio Valley beginning today and lasting into Wednesday. Low pressure over Missouri will rapidly intensify and move northeast to Chicago. Rain is expected across Kentucky and southern Indiana starting this morning...then will increase in intensity tonight. Rainfall amounts will likely exceed one inch in most locations. Along with the heavy rain...a few thunderstorms are also possible, especially across south central Kentucky late this evening. Strong gusty winds are possible with any thunderstorm development.
A cold front will move through the region Wednesday morning ushering in much cooler air. The low over the Chicago area will also help to create very gusty winds with the falling temperatures. Wind gusts in excess of 50 mph are possible Wednesday. Temperatures will start off Wednesday in the mid 40s, but will fall into the mid 30s by afternoon. There may be enough moisture behind the cold front to produce a few snow showers Wednesday...but accumulations if any, will be light.
Now time to sit and watch everything unfold tonight.... would be nice to get a severe event in December....
Tuesday, December 08, 2009
Sunday, December 06, 2009
12-06-09 Lexington Forecast
Just for the heck of it and since its been a while since i did an actual forecast here's one for the Lexington area for the next few days
Lexington Point forecast.
Sun 7pm: 35f, no precip, wind 5-10 ese, Clear
Mon 1am: 25f, no precip, Wind 5-10 se, Mostly Clear
Mon 7am: 29f, no precip, wind 0-5 s, Mostly Cloudy
Mon 1pm: 42f, Light Rain after 2 pm wind 10-15 SW, Cloudy
Mon 7pm: 40f, Light Rain, wind 0-5 WSW, Cloudy
Tue 1am: 35f, Light Rain Event Total 0.10 inches, wind 0-5 variable, Mostly Cloudy
Tue 7am: 30f, no precip, wind 0-5 NE, Partly Cloudy
Tue 1pm: 37f, Light Rain after 3pm, wind 5-10 SE, Cloudy
Tue 7pm: 39f, Light Rain, wind 10-15 SE Gusting 20-25, Cloudy
Wed 1am: 45f, Moderate Rain ch/thunder, wind 10-15 S, G 25-30, Cloudy
Wed 7am: 51f, Light rain before 5 Am event total 1.10 inches, Wind 15-20, G 25-30, Mostly cloudy
Wed 1pm: 65f, no precip, wind 20-25 G 30-40 WSW, Scattered Clouds
Wed 7pm: 40f, no precip, wind 15-20 WSW, Mostly Cloudy
Rain and maybe some snow is possible Monday no accumulation expected Rain totals of less than a tenth of an inch.
Winds will become gusty Tuesday into Wed with gusts as high as 40 mph possible.
Rain will begin Tuesday afternoon and rain will be light until the overnight where periods of heavy rain are possible along with a rumble of thunder or two, Rain totals of 1.10 inch possible.
Lexington Point forecast.
Sun 7pm: 35f, no precip, wind 5-10 ese, Clear
Mon 1am: 25f, no precip, Wind 5-10 se, Mostly Clear
Mon 7am: 29f, no precip, wind 0-5 s, Mostly Cloudy
Mon 1pm: 42f, Light Rain after 2 pm wind 10-15 SW, Cloudy
Mon 7pm: 40f, Light Rain, wind 0-5 WSW, Cloudy
Tue 1am: 35f, Light Rain Event Total 0.10 inches, wind 0-5 variable, Mostly Cloudy
Tue 7am: 30f, no precip, wind 0-5 NE, Partly Cloudy
Tue 1pm: 37f, Light Rain after 3pm, wind 5-10 SE, Cloudy
Tue 7pm: 39f, Light Rain, wind 10-15 SE Gusting 20-25, Cloudy
Wed 1am: 45f, Moderate Rain ch/thunder, wind 10-15 S, G 25-30, Cloudy
Wed 7am: 51f, Light rain before 5 Am event total 1.10 inches, Wind 15-20, G 25-30, Mostly cloudy
Wed 1pm: 65f, no precip, wind 20-25 G 30-40 WSW, Scattered Clouds
Wed 7pm: 40f, no precip, wind 15-20 WSW, Mostly Cloudy
Rain and maybe some snow is possible Monday no accumulation expected Rain totals of less than a tenth of an inch.
Winds will become gusty Tuesday into Wed with gusts as high as 40 mph possible.
Rain will begin Tuesday afternoon and rain will be light until the overnight where periods of heavy rain are possible along with a rumble of thunder or two, Rain totals of 1.10 inch possible.
Saturday, December 05, 2009
12-05-09 First snow of the 2009 Winter Season
Monday, November 09, 2009
11/09/09 Sunrise Halo
With (at the time) Hurricane Ida in the gulf up here in Ky we usually get some cool sunrises and sunsets a day or so before they make landfall... this wicked sunrise was waiting for me on the way home from work....
This is a HDR (High Dynamic Range) image (gives color tones a wider range) made from 3 exposures.
Photo is now featured on the NWS Louisville websites Top News Story.
This is a HDR (High Dynamic Range) image (gives color tones a wider range) made from 3 exposures.
Photo is now featured on the NWS Louisville websites Top News Story.
Saturday, October 31, 2009
Friday, October 30, 2009
10-30-09 Wicked Sunrise
Friday, October 23, 2009
10-23-09 Wet wet wet
Friday, October 09, 2009
10-09-09 Strong winds
Early AM line of strong storms with a history of 70-80 mph winds was approaching the area.. unfortunatly these storms died off as soon as they got into visible range... (typical) we did get some good 45-50 and maybe a 60 mph gust as the leading edge passed by. it did have some lightning but again this was dying off fast and in the heavy rainfall it was impossible to get any kind of shots.
What we did get was a few pics of a deteriorating shelf cloud as it came closer.
Fist view of the shelf off in the distance.
Shelf cloud more visible in the lights...
What we did get was a few pics of a deteriorating shelf cloud as it came closer.
Fist view of the shelf off in the distance.
Shelf cloud more visible in the lights...
Wednesday, September 23, 2009
09-21-09 Storms w/Heavy Rain
Monday, August 17, 2009
08-17-09 Lightning
Cluster of rain approached from the southwest, shortly before it reached us it became electrically active. Again as the storm grew closer we spotted another shelf cloud. this passed overhead but luckily it was the eastern edge of the cells and we got little rain and lots of lightning as the cell passed about 4 miles west of our location.
Saturday, August 15, 2009
08-15-09 Lightning
Wednesday, August 12, 2009
8-11-09 Midnight Storms
After 11 pm a small cell developed over northwest Fayette county and drifted to the southeast with clear skies ahead of it there was a good photo op for lightning . a few pictures came out well most were in cloud flashes in the mid levels of the storm but a couple were cloud to air discharges. when the storm passed over it did have a shelf cloud associated with it.
Monday, August 10, 2009
08-10-09 Lightning
Tuesday, August 04, 2009
08-04-09 Severe Storms
Thunderstorms rolled across the area today bringing damaging winds and heavy rains along with very intense lightning. Around 245pm Severe thunderstorm warning was issued for Fayette county, By this time we were already set up at a great spotting location on the Fayette/Jessamine county line, At first the sky didn't look much different from any other storm but when the shelf cloud came into view we knew it was more than we expected. the shelf drew closer and we could make out significant lowerings behind it. Then off on the horizon we could see the advancing rain as more and more of the details of the horizon vanished. After the shelf rolled overhead, we observed what looked like a gravity wave about 2 miles behind the leading edge, this is the area that several funnels were seen, none became anything significant.
It was around this time a car pulls up behind us and out steps Bill Meck, WLEX Channel 18's Chief Meteorologist. (One of the best met's Turns out hes on vacation and had a chance to enjoy the storms in person rather than being in the studio during them. We chatted a few minutes and said our goodbyes as the precip started to reach us..
When the rain hit it came down hard and fast , within minutes streets were starting to flood over, As we headed back for the house bri decided to check something out near his house and WOW, looked like a small waterfall pouring out from behind his yard, water was a few inches deep about 10 ft wide and was moving very fast.
Probably due to a storm drain back there being clogged.
Power outages, Flooded and closed roads and tons of lightning strikes were common around the Lexington area this afternoon... with the front hanging around the region well just have to wait and see what we get tomorrow....
Until next time
1.5 inches of rain in less than an hour caused excessive runoff issues across the county
Radar @ 2:55 Pm
Base Velocity Radar @ 2:55Pm
Radar @ 3:14 Pm
It was around this time a car pulls up behind us and out steps Bill Meck, WLEX Channel 18's Chief Meteorologist. (One of the best met's Turns out hes on vacation and had a chance to enjoy the storms in person rather than being in the studio during them. We chatted a few minutes and said our goodbyes as the precip started to reach us..
When the rain hit it came down hard and fast , within minutes streets were starting to flood over, As we headed back for the house bri decided to check something out near his house and WOW, looked like a small waterfall pouring out from behind his yard, water was a few inches deep about 10 ft wide and was moving very fast.
Probably due to a storm drain back there being clogged.
Power outages, Flooded and closed roads and tons of lightning strikes were common around the Lexington area this afternoon... with the front hanging around the region well just have to wait and see what we get tomorrow....
Until next time
1.5 inches of rain in less than an hour caused excessive runoff issues across the county
Radar @ 2:55 Pm
Base Velocity Radar @ 2:55Pm
Radar @ 3:14 Pm
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